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lunes, 11 de enero de 2021

INTERCAM BANCO: OPINIÓN DE LA MESA 11 de enero de 2021 Comentario de la mesa


Empezamos con un precio marcado sobre 20.20 con movimientos entre 20.00 y 20.22 durante el overnight y hasta las 7 de la mañana.

Nancy Pelosi y los demócratas continúan con la intención de realizar juicio político al hasta hoy actual Presidente Trump, la vez pasada era un tanto difícil porque no había sucesor pero ahora que ya hay Presidente Electo en Biden, la probabilidad crece de manera importante. Según los políticos, esto se traduce en una “real democracia” que ha fortalecido al mercado norteamericano.

Tanto los CD ́s como el DXY se han incrementado en este inicio de semana, esto es un fortalecimiento claro de la divisa norteamericana frente a una canasta de divisas, lo podemos ver claramente en la caída que tiene el yen de -0.28%, -0.60% del euro -0.67% del CHF, y no se diga de las emergentes como el peso mexicano que lo hace en -0.92% y algunas otras más pronunciadamente -2.21% y -1.82% de la lira turca y el rand sudafricano, respectivamente.

En México se publicó el dato de producción industrial con una cifra mejor al estimado (-3.7% frente al -4.2% pronosticado) siendo esto lo más relevante de la jornada.

Técnicamente vemos niveles importantes sobre 20.25 como resistencia inmediata y 20.13 como regreso natural, aunque las extensiones las vemos sobre 20.06 y 20.30.

Rangos iniciales 20.13/20.25.

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Good morning.

Asia-Pacific stock markets closed lower this Monday, with Shanghai Composite losing -1.08% followed by Australian S&P declining -0.90%, markets in Japan were closed for a Holiday. European markets are negative by mid-day, German DAX is losing -0.96% while UK ́s FTSE is -0.88%. The surge of coronavirus cases worldwide is weighing on investors sentiment. Dow futures are expecting a

negative opening as well, 300 points, after having a solid week to start 2021.

President Trump could be the first President to be impeached twice, after he incited a mob assault on Congress last week. Democrat House Speaker Nancy Pelosi will first ask Vice President Mike Pence to invoke the 25th Amendment to declare the President unable to fulfill his duties, if, as expected, Pence decides not to do that, Democrats will again unleash the machinery of impeachment, just 9 days before

he leaves the office.

Coronavirus has reached 90,376,062 global cases, with a death toll of 1,936,436.

Mexico has now 1,534,039 confirmed cases and 133,706 deaths.

Oil is $51.71 USD per barrel, Gold is $1,834.10 USD per ounce, British Pound is 1.3470, Euro is 1.2145 and the Peso is 20.20.

This Day in History!

A day like today in 2010, Miep Gies, the last survivor of a small group of people who helped hide a Jewish girl, Anne Frank, and her family from the Nazis during World War II, dies at age 100 in the Netherlands. After the Franks were discovered in 1944 and sent to concentration camps, Gies rescued the notebooks that Anne Frank left behind describing her two years in hiding. These writings were later

published as “Anne Frank: The Diary of a Young Girl,” which became one of the most widely read accounts of the Holocaust.

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