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miércoles, 16 de diciembre de 2020

INTERCAM BANCO: OPINIÓN DE LA MESA Divisas 16 de diciembre de 2020 Comentario de la mesa

 

Hoy el precio amanece sobre 19.90 con movimientos aproximados entre 19.82 y 19.96 durante el “overnight”.

El mercado ayer se mantuvo presionado, así como las últimas jornadas por el tema de Banxico, la intención de reformar la Constitución para que Banco de México pueda comprar dólares en efectivo es un tema que no gustó hasta que, por fin ayer, el Congreso decidió dar un paso atrás y esperar a tener más elementos para la toma de decisión y evitar consecuencias desastrosas. Con esto, la presión sobre el tipo de cambio, que se encontraba sobre 20.20 ́s tuvo una baja importante hasta niveles de 19.90, y se ha mantenido oscilando allí hasta el momento.

Hoy la visión de los mercados irá directo al Banco de la Reserva Federal y la decisión de Política Monetaria, la que se espera que se mantenga sin cambios en el rango de “0.0% a 0.25%”, aunque en realidad los mercados se mantendrán pendientes de Banxico, la “novela” con el Gobierno y la decisión de Política Monetaria también en México programada para el día de mañana.

Técnicamente ha cambiado poco, curiosamente el nivel técnico de resistencia de 20.25 se respetó, coincidentemente ayudado con un fundamental importante; ahora, en la parte baja, el 19.85 funge como nivel relevante, aunque con extensión a 19.75 en el mediano plazo. Para hoy y el trading intraday, vemos niveles de 19.88/19.99.

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Good morning.

Asia-Pacific stocks closed mostly higher this Wednesday as investors reacted to Pfizer ́s vaccine approval. Hong Kong ́s Hang Seng ended up +0.97% followed by Australian S&P up +0.72%. European markets are positive by mid-day, German DAX is +1.31% while UK ́s FTSE is +0.54%. Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission said earlier that there has been progress in talks over a post-Brexit trade agreement with the UK, and that next days would be decisive, but fishing remains a big issue. Coronavirus cases keep rising in Europe, but some governments are planning to relax restrictions over the festive Christmas period, with the risk of having a surpluses of cases in January. Business activity was better

than expected in December, with services PMI rising to 47.3 from 41.7 and manufacturing PMI 49.8 from 45.3 last month.

Wall Street futures are expecting an slightly positive opening, waiting for a fiscal stimulus before the end of the year. And they are also looking out for the Federal Reserve ́s comments about the future of the US economy.

Oil is $47.56 UDS per barrel, gold is $1,860.80 USD per ounce, the British Pound is 1.3520, the Euro is 1.2190 and the Peso is back below 20, trading around 19.94.

This Day in History!

A day like today in 1973, the Buffalo Bills running back Orenthal James “OJ” Simpson becomes the first player in the National Football League (NFL) to rush for more than 2,000 yards in a single season.

After leading the University of Southern California (USC) Trojans to a Rose Bowl victory and winning the Heisman Trophy, Simpson was drafted by Buffalo as the first pick in the 1969 NFL draft. He struggled for several seasons on weak Buffalo teams but first rushed for more than 1,000 yards in 1972, ending the season with a league-leading 1,251. The following year, he totaled 219 rushing yards against the New England Patriots in the next-to-last game of the season, putting his total at 1,803. On December 16, with the Bills facing the New York Jets in New York’s Shea Stadium, Simpson rushed for another 200 yards, for a record-setting total of 2,003.

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