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miércoles, 27 de mayo de 2020

INTERCAM BANCO: OPINIÓN DE LA MESA Divisas 27 de mayo de 2020 Comentario de la mesa



Hola muy buen día, jornada tranquila durante el “overnight” con movimientos desde el 22.15 hasta el 22.34 aproximadamente, con una toma de utilidades de los inversionistas que hicieron que el precio cayera la jornada anterior. Hoy amanecemos sobre 22.30 y percibimos un mercado con la intención de regresar a probar niveles por debajo de 22.15.
Los CDS ́s siguen cayendo y se ubican en 169 puntos, las Bolsas se espera que abran alrededor de 1.3% por encima de los niveles previos, en cuanto a las divisas emergentes, todas se ubican con ligeros retrocesos con respecto al día previo y las divisas de economías desarrolladas lo hacen mixtas desde -0.46% hasta +0.22%, destacando el movimiento alcista del Euro que se ubica de nueva cuenta sobre el psicológico de 1.10.
Para hoy esperamos datos de inflación a las 12 del día, además de que a la 1 de la tarde se publica el Beige Book, siendo lo más relevante del día. Técnicamente, vemos 22.12 como soporte inicial con extensión a 22.00 mientras que en la parte alta el 22.35 funge como primer nivel de resistencia con extensión a 22.44.
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Good morning, things don't look good for the Eurozone, ECB President Christine Lagarde said earlier that the Eurozone economy will likely shrink between 8% and 12% this year. The EU is proposing a new €750 billion recovery fund package to help the bloc ́s economy to get through the painful recession triggered by the coronavirus pandemic. As the bloc is set to enter the worst-ever recession, the 27 member countries must agree for the recovery fund to take effect. Even though the Euro surges to 1.1030 on the relief package news, and stock markets are positive by mid-day, +2.84%. Asian stock markets closed mixed this Wednesday, -0.70% and +2.22%, futures in the Americas are expecting a mixed opening. Dow futures jump over 300 points as stocks look to extend its rally on stimulus and reopening efforts across the US and Europe. More people are returning to work, and shops are ready to
reopen.
Escalating tensions in Hong Kong are deteriorating relations between China and the US, President Trump said he would make an announcement by the end of the week regarding China ́s efforts to impose new security laws that would undercut Hong Kong ́s autonomy.
Oil prices fall as Russia is ready to go back to the pre-OPEC agreement, and will ease up in supply cuts in July. Oil is $33.66 USD per barrel. British Pound is 1.2265 and the Peso is trading around 22.30.
This Day in History!
A day like today in 1937, San Francisco’s Golden Gate Bridge, a stunning technological and artistic achievement, opens to the public after five years of construction. On opening day–“Pedestrian Day”– some 200,000 bridge walkers marveled at the 4,200-foot-long suspension bridge, which spans the Golden Gate Strait at the entrance to San Francisco Bay and connects San Francisco and Marin County. The next day, on May 28, the Golden Gate Bridge opened to vehicular traffic.
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